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  • Foto del escritorAraújo Ibarra

Coronavirus sinks global growth prospects for first half of 2020

Actualizado: 28 abr 2020

The Economist - Q2 global forecast 2020


The Economist Intelligence Unit provides world-leading political and economic analysis and forecasts for 197 countries. Our reports examine and explain the important political and economic trends and developments in each country, providing investors and businesses with key takeaways to understand the current situation and the likely future political and economic developments.


Alongside our comprehensive annual data, we provide quarterly forecasts for 50 countries covering 85% of global output. These forecasts, built using our proprietary econometric models, address the growing need for high-frequency data to help set budgets, investments and economic projections.


The EIU’s quarterly forecasts include up to 51 headline series for G20 countries, the BRICS grouping (comprising Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa), as well as key emerging markets. These forecasts are updated continuously and projected out two years, or eight quarters. Our quarterly-frequency forecasts make use of a pioneering Global Vector Autoregression (GVAR) technique developed by leading econometricians over the past decade. Such models are believed to have strong forecasting properties, particularly in the short run, and to capture cross-quarter and cross-variable dynamics effectively.


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